Large gap with delayed quotes
Analysis date: 27.06.2025
Global Evaluation
Negativ
Negativ
The stock is classified in the negative zone since 27.06.2025.
Interest
Very weak
Very weak
One star since 27.06.2025.
Earnings Rev Trend
Negative
Negative
Compared to seven weeks ago, the analysts have lowered their earnings per share estimates. This negative trend began 24.06.2025 at a price of 94.68.
Evaluation
Strongly overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Based on its growth potential and our own criteria, we believe the share price is currently overvalued.
MT Tech Trend
Neutral
Neutral
The stock is currently trading close to its forty day moving average (changes between +1.75% and -1.75% are considered neutral). Prior to this, the stock traded above its moving average since 29.04.2025.
4wk Rel Perf
-4.85%
-4.85%
The four-week dividend-adjusted underperformance versus SP500 is 4.85%.
Sensibility
High
High
The stock has been on the high-sensitivity level since 07.02.2025.
Bear Market Factor
Low
Low
On average, the stock has a tendency to minimize the drops in the index by -1.18%.
Bad News Factor
Low
Low
When the stock's pressure is specific, the market sanction on average is 3.60%.
Mkt Cap in $bn
14.74
14.74
With a market capitalization >$8bn, CF IND HLDGS INC is considered a large-cap stock.
G/PE Ratio
0.44
0.44
A ratio (Forecasted Growth + Estimated Dividend Yield/ Estimated Price Earnings) below 0.6 indicates that investors must pay a substantial premium for the estimated growth potential: >50% premium.
LT P/E
14.84
14.84
The estimated PE is for the year 2027.
LT Growth
4.35%
4.35%
The annualized growth estimate is for the current year to 2027.
Avg. Nb analysts
14
14
Over the last seven weeks, an average of 14 analysts provided earnings per share estimates.
Dividend Yield
2.20%
2.20%
The twelve month estimated dividend yield represents 32.61% of earnings forecasts.
Beta
51
51
For 1% of index variation, the stock varies on average by 0.51%.
Correlation
0.29
0.29
Stock movements are strongly independent of index variations.
Value at Risk
27.41
27.41
The value at risk is estimated at USD 27.41. The risk is therefore 30.12%. This value is based on the historical volatility for a medium time period (1 month) with a confidence of 95%.
First Analysis Date
13.12.2006
13.12.2006