Analysis date: 05.05.2026
Global Evaluation
Neutral
Neutral
The stock is classified in the neutral zone since 01.05.2026.
Interest
Very weak
Very weak
One star since 17.04.2026.
Earnings Rev Trend
Negative
Negative
Compared to seven weeks ago, the analysts have lowered their earnings per share estimates. This negative trend began 10.03.2026 at a price of 5743.00.
Evaluation
Strongly undervalued
Strongly undervalued
Based on its growth potential and our own criteria, we believe the share price is currently undervalued.
MT Tech Trend
Neutral
Neutral
The stock is currently trading close to its dividend-adjusted forty day moving average (changes between +1.75% and -1.75% are considered neutral). Prior to this, the stock traded below its moving average since 17.04.2026.
4wk Rel Perf
-15.62%
-15.62%
The four-week dividend-adjusted underperformance versus NIKKEI225 is 15.62%.
Sensibility
Middle
Middle
The stock has been on the moderate-sensitivity level since 01.05.2026.
Bear Market Factor
Low
Low
On average, the stock has a tendency to minimize the drops in the index by -1.50%.
Bad News Factor
Low
Low
When the stock's pressure is specific, the market sanction on average is 2.73%.
Mkt Cap in $bn
66.20
66.20
With a market capitalization >$8bn, JAPAN TOBACCO is considered a large-cap stock.
G/PE Ratio
1.25
1.25
A ratio (Forecasted Growth + Estimated Dividend Yield/ Estimated Price Earnings) higher than 0.9 indicates that the stock's price presents a discount to growth of
LT P/E
14.74
14.74
The estimated PE is for the year 2028.
LT Growth
13.98%
13.98%
The annualized growth estimate is for the current year to 2028.
Avg. Nb analysts
10
10
Over the last seven weeks, an average of 10 analysts provided earnings per share estimates.
Dividend Yield
4.40%
4.40%
The twelve month estimated dividend yield represents 64.88% of earnings forecasts.
Beta
3
3
For 1% of index variation, the stock varies on average by 0.03%.
Correlation
0.06
0.06
Stock movements are totally independent of index variations.
Value at Risk
883.74
883.74
The value at risk is estimated at JPY 883.74. The risk is therefore 15.01%. This value is based on the historical volatility for a medium time period (1 month) with a confidence of 95%.
First Analysis Date
02.01.2002
02.01.2002