Large gap with delayed quotes
Analysis date: 27.06.2025
Global Evaluation
Neutral
Neutral
The stock is classified in the neutral zone since 23.05.2025.
Interest
None
None
No stars since 23.05.2025.
Earnings Rev Trend
Negative
Negative
Compared to seven weeks ago, the analysts have lowered their earnings per share estimates. This negative trend began 09.05.2025 at a price of 205.53.
Evaluation
Overvalued
Overvalued
Based on its growth potential and our own criteria, we believe the share price is currently moderately overvalued.
MT Tech Trend
Neutral
Neutral
The stock is currently trading close to its forty day moving average (changes between +1.75% and -1.75% are considered neutral). Prior to this, the stock traded below its moving average since 23.05.2025.
4wk Rel Perf
-2.80%
-2.80%
The four-week dividend-adjusted underperformance versus SP500 is 2.80%.
Sensibility
Low
Low
The stock has been on the low-sensitivity level since 31.01.2025.
Bear Market Factor
Low
Low
On average, the stock has a tendency to minimize the drops in the index by -0.67%.
Bad News Factor
Low
Low
When the stock's pressure is specific, the market sanction on average is 1.92%.
Mkt Cap in $bn
29.10
29.10
With a market capitalization >$8bn, AVALONBAY COMMUNITIE is considered a large-cap stock.
G/PE Ratio
0.58
0.58
A ratio (Forecasted Growth + Estimated Dividend Yield/ Estimated Price Earnings) below 0.6 indicates that investors must pay a substantial premium for the estimated growth potential: >50% premium.
LT P/E
33.34
33.34
The estimated PE is for the year 2027.
LT Growth
15.95%
15.95%
The annualized growth estimate is for the current year to 2027.
Avg. Nb analysts
8
8
Over the last seven weeks, an average of 8 analysts provided earnings per share estimates.
Dividend Yield
3.50%
3.50%
The earnings forecasts are not sufficient to cover the twelve month estimated dividend.
Beta
56
56
For 1% of index variation, the stock varies on average by 0.56%.
Correlation
0.55
0.55
54.92% of stock movements are explained by index variations.
Value at Risk
24.53
24.53
The value at risk is estimated at USD 24.53. The risk is therefore 12.00%. This value is based on the historical volatility for a medium time period (1 month) with a confidence of 95%.
First Analysis Date
02.01.2002
02.01.2002